Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.903673 4.169351 4.452543 4.778331 5.144620 5.545912 6.021827
2025-09-14 3.383568 3.737339 4.136234 4.624589 5.213840 5.912049 6.818033
2025-09-21 3.081484 3.477786 3.941349 4.533372 5.284404 6.227832 7.542205
2025-09-28 2.877768 3.301612 3.811648 4.485250 5.375597 6.551097 8.296299
2025-10-05 2.734753 3.181390 3.732041 4.480948 5.508074 6.928397 9.171582
2025-10-12 2.650821 3.124765 3.722863 4.560090 5.751881 7.481276 10.402996
2025-10-19 2.572752 3.067817 3.705494 4.621479 5.970715 8.020174 11.722588
2025-10-26 2.485916 2.992498 3.656204 4.630614 6.108915 8.447661 12.944580
2025-11-02 2.380534 2.885913 3.556528 4.557525 6.111202 8.649712 13.788140
2025-11-09 2.272234 2.769683 3.436342 4.444469 6.037908 8.710487 14.358852
2025-11-16 2.188649 2.682915 3.352169 4.378150 6.031478 8.884387 15.212088
2025-11-23 2.142169 2.644508 3.333535 4.408291 6.183855 9.364330 16.900234
2025-11-30 2.088071 2.594928 3.298726 4.414951 6.304400 9.817972 18.740657
2025-12-07 1.996819 2.489940 3.178969 4.281187 6.170757 9.755278 19.213369
2025-12-14 1.926999 2.412539 3.096048 4.200727 6.123783 9.862098 20.214815
2025-12-21 1.872624 2.354843 3.039283 4.158187 6.139918 10.101673 21.721812
2025-12-28 1.832163 2.315431 3.007758 4.154382 6.226014 10.506188 23.978544
2026-01-04 1.813112 2.305994 3.020595 4.224338 6.457162 11.281388 28.090884
2026-01-11 1.791167 2.291276 3.024306 4.278538 6.663148 12.042795 32.870779
2026-01-18 1.759512 2.260975 3.002317 4.286599 6.777381 12.601022 37.353225
2026-01-25 1.712907 2.206942 2.941004 4.222072 6.736454 12.745267 39.868842
2026-02-01 1.660582 2.142950 2.861865 4.122107 6.613675 12.648847 40.958008
2026-02-08 1.619915 2.095400 2.807251 4.063379 6.573884 12.779837 43.685764